Like in 2016, the pathway to the nomination is clear due to the "winner take all" rules in most GOP states; RCV would ensure a true majority of GOP primary voters prevail
"In the GOP primary process for president, most states use either a “plurality wins all” method or a hybrid of such a system to decide the winner of each state (the rules are fairly complex, see a state-by-state breakdown here)." Winner-take-all is also the main reason that a national popular vote POTUS winner can lose the election. Awarding Electoral College votes proportionally to the top two vote getters in each state is a superior method that doesn't require an amendment to the Constitution: http://fairelectionadvocates.org/index.php/campaigns/campaign-menu
Dale, have you heard about the National Popular Vote effort? A way to implement a NPV without a constitutional amendment by taking advantage of the ability of states to enter into interstate compacts with each other. Check it out https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/
I agree, a NPV without some kind of majoritarian requirement using either RCV or a two round runoff could have unintended consequences. I still would support it though over the status quo. Thanks for your thoughts.
I oppose the NPVIC. In my opinion it circumvents the intent of the Constitution and if implemented will not survive court challenges. Besides that, it would promote faithless electors. A solid red state like South Carolina, would be inflamed if all of its Electoral College votes were awarded to a Democrat POTUS candidate winning the national popular vote. Additionally, if the NPV was close between candidates, the results of every state could determine the outcome. Imagine the chaos if every state's election results were challenged like Florida's was in Bush vs Gore.
Another good piece by Hill. And good comment by Dale Clinbeard (thanks for the reference link). Alas, Hill tells us what we - many of us at least - know all too well. Of course Trump could secure the GOP nomination. And winner-take-all Republican primaries are largely if not completely why he could. The majority - even a large majority - of GOP primary voters could oppose Trump but no matter - it's plurality winner-take-all. Also many GOP primary voters seem to be more interested in sending messages by supporting Trump than winning the general election where Trump would have little chance (hopefully!) of prevailing. Sending messages apparently trumps winning general elections.
Political problems rarely have single simple solutions. But the problem that could lead to Trump's nomination does. And no one reading Hill's piece here needs reminding of what that solution is.
"In the GOP primary process for president, most states use either a “plurality wins all” method or a hybrid of such a system to decide the winner of each state (the rules are fairly complex, see a state-by-state breakdown here)." Winner-take-all is also the main reason that a national popular vote POTUS winner can lose the election. Awarding Electoral College votes proportionally to the top two vote getters in each state is a superior method that doesn't require an amendment to the Constitution: http://fairelectionadvocates.org/index.php/campaigns/campaign-menu
Dale, have you heard about the National Popular Vote effort? A way to implement a NPV without a constitutional amendment by taking advantage of the ability of states to enter into interstate compacts with each other. Check it out https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/
I agree, a NPV without some kind of majoritarian requirement using either RCV or a two round runoff could have unintended consequences. I still would support it though over the status quo. Thanks for your thoughts.
I oppose the NPVIC. In my opinion it circumvents the intent of the Constitution and if implemented will not survive court challenges. Besides that, it would promote faithless electors. A solid red state like South Carolina, would be inflamed if all of its Electoral College votes were awarded to a Democrat POTUS candidate winning the national popular vote. Additionally, if the NPV was close between candidates, the results of every state could determine the outcome. Imagine the chaos if every state's election results were challenged like Florida's was in Bush vs Gore.
Another good piece by Hill. And good comment by Dale Clinbeard (thanks for the reference link). Alas, Hill tells us what we - many of us at least - know all too well. Of course Trump could secure the GOP nomination. And winner-take-all Republican primaries are largely if not completely why he could. The majority - even a large majority - of GOP primary voters could oppose Trump but no matter - it's plurality winner-take-all. Also many GOP primary voters seem to be more interested in sending messages by supporting Trump than winning the general election where Trump would have little chance (hopefully!) of prevailing. Sending messages apparently trumps winning general elections.
Political problems rarely have single simple solutions. But the problem that could lead to Trump's nomination does. And no one reading Hill's piece here needs reminding of what that solution is.